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High Accuracy of Rocky Mountain Streamflow Forecasts Continue into Fifth Year

High Accuracy of Rocky Mountain Streamflow Forecasts Continue into Fifth Year

by admin_37678 | Aug 19, 2021 | Uncategorized

It’s been over 5 years into the 6 year forecast of streamflows of the Pecos River near Pecos, NM, US. I introduced the original forecasts at this site back in late 2016, and also published a journal article in [1] which described the Solar Cycle basis and...
Accuracy Continues for 6 Year Streamflow Forecast Made in 2015

Accuracy Continues for 6 Year Streamflow Forecast Made in 2015

by admin_37678 | Nov 24, 2019 | Uncategorized

My first paying customer for the hydrological forecasts which deploy the method of [1] was the Water Division for the City of Santa Fe, New Mexico.  The featured animation says it all, I think, but I’m happy to provide some supporting text and more.  The open...
Do Global Climate Moisture and Temperature Records Match Solar Signatures?

Do Global Climate Moisture and Temperature Records Match Solar Signatures?

by admin_37678 | Apr 25, 2017 | Uncategorized

It might seem over the top, but worth considering if ever global moisture were so closely tied to solar signatures as through these adaptations I developed including background from a figure by  Dr. Roy Spencer. I start with featured image which is an overlay onto Dr....
Preliminary evaluation of West-Wide Climate Risk Assessment Forecasts

Preliminary evaluation of West-Wide Climate Risk Assessment Forecasts

by admin_37678 | Apr 11, 2017 | Uncategorized

To the best of my knowledge, most other climate forecast practitioners do not publish transparent measures of the performances of their forecast record.  As a hydroclimate forecaster, I would like to know how my own climate forecasts compare to those others.  I think...
Update on MW&A Climate Forecasting Accuracy in 2016

Update on MW&A Climate Forecasting Accuracy in 2016

by admin_37678 | Dec 18, 2016 | Uncategorized

It’s that time of year when we update our model forecast performance disclosures.  Much of this year was spent in prototyping and testing and deployment of a more advanced technique which was regionally limited. In the forecast exercise, we projected 5 year...

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