by admin_37678 | Jul 8, 2026 | Uncategorized
I forecast an historically wet April for 2026. I posted this on March 30: https://abeqas.com/chance-for-above-average-rain-across-idahos-snake-river-this-april/ Now that I’ve advanced on some other hydroclimatological priorities, I have some breathing room to...
by admin_37678 | Mar 30, 2026 | Uncategorized
We don’t use ENSO to forecast. We use lagged correlations to solar activity. By posting this, can revisit in May when all of the data are in. Then we’ll calculate the 5 year trailing average for month of April and post the appropriate rain skill anomaly...
by admin_37678 | Dec 24, 2025 | Uncategorized
Update, February 5, 2026. With each validation month post, we often optimize precursors, round out missing tests and exercise other best practices. Here we’ve moved to the projected specific snow water content and deployed a different precursor set. And...