Hydroclimatology and Solar Explorations

Climate Forecasts & Predictions, Uncategorized

MW&A forecast methods succeed to the East

In a short hop east across the Rio Grande, the watershed of the Upper Pecos River of New Mexico in the US Southwest has been subjected to the same forecast approach of Method C, in which only 2013 ocean driver data were utilized.  The forecast exercise mean product fell within approximately 5% of the actual value calculated for this gage at the end of 2014. The actual value also itself fell within one standard deviation of the forecast mean.  This certifies another success to Method C.

The Upper Pecos also happens to correspond closely with regard to its Stochastic Landscape in comparison, for example to the Upper Santa Fe River which drains into the Rio Grande to the west.

2014MethodCa_SFPecosnotes:  Featured Post image has been updated for improvements and for correction of an incorrect PnP offset.


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